NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MARQ GTWN
Points 88.4 68.6
Total Points   157.1
Points From 2-Pointers 47.9 27.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 28.6
Points From Free Throws 13.0 12.7
Shooting MARQ GTWN
Field Goals Made 33.1 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 58.3
Field Goal % 57.2% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 23.9 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 70.5% 44.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 13.0 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 17.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 72.0%
Ball Control MARQ GTWN
Rebounds 33.1 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 20.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.5
Turnovers 8.8 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.5
Steals 8.4 4.6
Fouls 13.2 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MARQ GTWN
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 69.8
% of Possessions with MARQ GTWN
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 32.6%
Player Fouled 20.5% 18.8%
Turnover 12.5% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 12.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MARQ GTWN
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 33.3%