NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU SDST
Points 70.9 76.9
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 27.1 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 33.8 26.1
Points From Free Throws 10.0 13.4
Shooting ORU SDST
Field Goals Made 24.8 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 58.0
Field Goal % 42.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 30.2 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 10.0 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.0 18.3
Free Throw % 77.1% 73.3%
Ball Control ORU SDST
Rebounds 31.8 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 8.1
Turnovers 9.5 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 5.1 4.7
Fouls 16.3 11.0

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU SDST
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 68.9
% of Possessions with ORU SDST
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 39.1% 28.8%
Player Fouled 15.8% 23.5%
Turnover 13.7% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU SDST
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 24.3%