NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU PFW
Points 70.9 76.8
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 27.7
Points From Free Throws 12.6 12.5
Shooting ORU PFW
Field Goals Made 24.9 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 62.3
Field Goal % 44.4% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 12.6 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 17.4
Free Throw % 77.1% 71.8%
Ball Control ORU PFW
Rebounds 35.5 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 8.1
Turnovers 13.0 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.9
Steals 4.2 7.2
Fouls 14.7 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU PFW
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 72.6
% of Possessions with ORU PFW
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 30.4%
Player Fouled 18.0% 20.3%
Turnover 17.9% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU PFW
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 21.8%