NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU NEOM
Points 73.4 71.1
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.6 18.1
Points From Free Throws 12.4 17.5
Shooting ORU NEOM
Field Goals Made 25.6 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 56.5
Field Goal % 44.9% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.0 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 12.4 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 23.3
Free Throw % 77.1% 75.0%
Ball Control ORU NEOM
Rebounds 33.5 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 9.1
Turnovers 9.2 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.0
Steals 4.0 4.6
Fouls 17.1 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU NEOM
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 70.6
% of Possessions with ORU NEOM
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.9% 23.6%
Player Fouled 18.8% 24.7%
Turnover 13.2% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU NEOM
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 25.4%