NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU CSU
Points 61.9 78.3
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 21.8
Points From Free Throws 11.6 14.9
Shooting ORU CSU
Field Goals Made 21.6 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 56.4
Field Goal % 38.2% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.4% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 11.6 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 20.0
Free Throw % 77.1% 74.7%
Ball Control ORU CSU
Rebounds 30.1 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 8.1
Turnovers 9.8 7.8
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.0
Steals 3.7 5.0
Fouls 16.8 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU CSU
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 68.5
% of Possessions with ORU CSU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 26.6%
Player Fouled 18.5% 24.7%
Turnover 14.3% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU CSU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 26.0%