NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU KC
Points 68.4 70.8
Total Points   139.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 25.8
Points From Free Throws 16.0 14.0
Shooting ORU KC
Field Goals Made 22.5 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 60.3
Field Goal % 42.3% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 16.0 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 19.4
Free Throw % 77.1% 72.1%
Ball Control ORU KC
Rebounds 32.8 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.8 12.1
Turnovers 10.5 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.5
Steals 4.6 4.8
Fouls 16.1 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU KC
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 72.6
% of Possessions with ORU KC
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 31.1%
Player Fouled 22.6% 23.1%
Turnover 15.0% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU KC
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 17.5% 31.0%