NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORU MIZZ
Points 69.8 77.6
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 22.2
Points From Free Throws 15.1 16.3
Shooting ORU MIZZ
Field Goals Made 22.6 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 58.6
Field Goal % 40.4% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 15.1 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 20.7
Free Throw % 77.1% 78.9%
Ball Control ORU MIZZ
Rebounds 32.7 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.8
Turnovers 11.1 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.7
Steals 4.3 6.3
Fouls 16.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORU MIZZ
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 71.3
% of Possessions with ORU MIZZ
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 26.9%
Player Fouled 20.9% 24.0%
Turnover 15.9% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORU MIZZ
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 28.7%