NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT UCI
Points 70.3 77.5
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 46.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 15.8
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.7
Shooting KENT UCI
Field Goals Made 23.9 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 57.2
Field Goal % 41.4% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 23.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 15.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 20.7
Free Throw % 73.1% 75.7%
Ball Control KENT UCI
Rebounds 31.3 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.1
Turnovers 10.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.0
Steals 5.1 5.3
Fouls 16.5 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: UC Irvine

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT UCI
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 70.1
% of Possessions with KENT UCI
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 19.1%
Player Fouled 23.2% 23.2%
Turnover 14.9% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT UCI
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 31.8%