NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT BALL
Points 74.8 70.6
Total Points   145.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 21.6
Points From Free Throws 12.9 17.1
Shooting KENT BALL
Field Goals Made 26.7 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 52.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 12.9 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 22.0
Free Throw % 73.1% 77.8%
Ball Control KENT BALL
Rebounds 34.9 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 7.9
Turnovers 9.7 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.6
Steals 6.5 4.3
Fouls 18.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Kent St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT BALL
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 65.8
% of Possessions with KENT BALL
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 26.0%
Player Fouled 19.8% 25.6%
Turnover 13.8% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT BALL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 24.8%