NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENT UVA
Points 57.1 67.9
Total Points   125.1
Points From 2-Pointers 25.5 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 19.6
Points From Free Throws 9.9 9.9
Shooting KENT UVA
Field Goals Made 20.0 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 56.7
Field Goal % 35.9% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 12.8 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 40.5% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 9.9 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 16.0
Free Throw % 73.1% 62.1%
Ball Control KENT UVA
Rebounds 35.4 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.1
Turnovers 11.2 7.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 5.2
Steals 4.3 6.3
Fouls 13.0 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENT UVA
Total Possessions 64.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 66.4
% of Possessions with KENT UVA
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 25.1%
Player Fouled 18.7% 20.0%
Turnover 17.3% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENT UVA
Shot Blocked 9.3% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 26.5%