NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN IOWA
Points 80.2 80.5
Total Points   160.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 45.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 19.3
Points From Free Throws 14.6 15.5
Shooting MINN IOWA
Field Goals Made 28.5 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 61.2
Field Goal % 48.4% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 44.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 14.6 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 20.1
Free Throw % 67.9% 77.4%
Ball Control MINN IOWA
Rebounds 35.1 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.8
Turnovers 10.4 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.0
Steals 5.6 6.3
Fouls 14.6 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN IOWA
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 72.8
% of Possessions with MINN IOWA
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 54.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 19.9%
Player Fouled 19.5% 20.2%
Turnover 14.4% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN IOWA
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 25.6%