NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN PITT
Points 68.0 76.3
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 27.8
Points From Free Throws 12.5 12.4
Shooting MINN PITT
Field Goals Made 24.1 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 61.2
Field Goal % 44.4% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 40.4%
Free Throws Made 12.5 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 16.9
Free Throw % 67.9% 73.0%
Ball Control MINN PITT
Rebounds 33.4 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 10.3
Turnovers 10.5 7.2
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.6
Steals 4.2 6.5
Fouls 13.5 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Pittsburgh

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN PITT
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 71.1
% of Possessions with MINN PITT
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 28.7%
Player Fouled 20.4% 19.9%
Turnover 15.5% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN PITT
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 28.4%