NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN IONA
Points 66.9 69.7
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 22.3
Points From Free Throws 10.1 10.2
Shooting CAN IONA
Field Goals Made 24.9 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 60.6
Field Goal % 46.0% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 10.1 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 15.5
Free Throw % 59.8% 66.3%
Ball Control CAN IONA
Rebounds 39.1 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.2
Turnovers 14.2 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.5
Steals 4.4 7.5
Fouls 13.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN IONA
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 69.7
% of Possessions with CAN IONA
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 26.6%
Player Fouled 20.2% 19.3%
Turnover 20.6% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN IONA
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.2% 24.8%