NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN ALBY
Points 77.4 77.0
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 50.0 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 21.4
Points From Free Throws 11.9 12.2
Shooting CAN ALBY
Field Goals Made 30.2 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 62.6
Field Goal % 48.5% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 25.0 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 11.9 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 16.4
Free Throw % 59.8% 73.9%
Ball Control CAN ALBY
Rebounds 39.4 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 9.7
Turnovers 11.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.4
Steals 5.9 6.7
Fouls 13.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN ALBY
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.4 72.3
% of Possessions with CAN ALBY
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 24.2%
Player Fouled 20.0% 18.4%
Turnover 15.9% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN ALBY
Shot Blocked 4.0% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 36.4% 27.3%