NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN SPU
Points 61.6 63.9
Total Points   125.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 16.2
Points From Free Throws 11.4 14.3
Shooting CAN SPU
Field Goals Made 22.3 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 56.2
Field Goal % 40.9% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 41.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 15.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 11.4 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 20.0
Free Throw % 59.8% 71.2%
Ball Control CAN SPU
Rebounds 37.8 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.1
Turnovers 12.6 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.8
Steals 4.7 5.8
Fouls 15.9 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN SPU
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 68.4
% of Possessions with CAN SPU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 19.2%
Player Fouled 22.4% 23.6%
Turnover 18.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN SPU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 32.8% 30.0%