NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK RMU
Points 80.2 69.5
Total Points   149.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 30.0
Points From Free Throws 16.8 10.1
Shooting OAK RMU
Field Goals Made 27.3 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 62.3
Field Goal % 46.1% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 16.8 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 14.4
Free Throw % 76.4% 69.8%
Ball Control OAK RMU
Rebounds 37.6 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.6
Turnovers 8.5 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.6
Steals 6.4 3.8
Fouls 11.8 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK RMU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 72.0
% of Possessions with OAK RMU
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 35.6%
Player Fouled 22.2% 16.7%
Turnover 12.0% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK RMU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 31.6%