NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK CLEVST
Points 76.5 71.1
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 20.6
Points From Free Throws 16.7 10.8
Shooting OAK CLEVST
Field Goals Made 25.8 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 64.0
Field Goal % 44.2% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 16.7 10.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 16.5
Free Throw % 76.4% 65.8%
Ball Control OAK CLEVST
Rebounds 39.4 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.4
Turnovers 10.1 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.7
Steals 4.9 6.0
Fouls 12.6 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK CLEVST
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 74.4
% of Possessions with OAK CLEVST
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 26.2%
Player Fouled 22.4% 17.9%
Turnover 14.4% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK CLEVST
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 30.8%