NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK MICH
Points 76.2 75.7
Total Points   151.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 27.1
Points From Free Throws 13.0 13.1
Shooting OAK MICH
Field Goals Made 27.2 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 59.1
Field Goal % 43.7% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 13.0 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 18.5
Free Throw % 76.4% 70.8%
Ball Control OAK MICH
Rebounds 34.5 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.8
Turnovers 8.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.4
Steals 7.2 3.6
Fouls 14.5 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK MICH
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 70.8
% of Possessions with OAK MICH
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 29.9%
Player Fouled 19.6% 20.5%
Turnover 11.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK MICH
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 30.6%