NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TLSA BSU
Points 64.8 78.7
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 25.1
Points From Free Throws 16.1 17.6
Shooting TLSA BSU
Field Goals Made 21.6 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 50.9 58.1
Field Goal % 42.3% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 26.7% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 16.1 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 23.7
Free Throw % 73.6% 74.3%
Ball Control TLSA BSU
Rebounds 28.5 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.4 12.0
Turnovers 12.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.8
Steals 5.7 6.0
Fouls 16.1 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Tulsa

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TLSA BSU
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 73.0
% of Possessions with TLSA BSU
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 28.8%
Player Fouled 23.8% 22.6%
Turnover 17.1% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TLSA BSU
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 16.4% 34.2%