NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TLSA TULN
Points 76.0 79.1
Total Points   155.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 21.4
Points From Free Throws 18.2 20.3
Shooting TLSA TULN
Field Goals Made 24.7 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 55.5
Field Goal % 42.7% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 18.2 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 28.4
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.6%
Ball Control TLSA TULN
Rebounds 36.4 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 6.2
Turnovers 12.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.5
Steals 6.7 7.1
Fouls 18.4 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Tulane

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TLSA TULN
Total Possessions 76.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 72.2
% of Possessions with TLSA TULN
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 24.3%
Player Fouled 21.9% 24.0%
Turnover 15.6% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TLSA TULN
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 18.1%