NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB GRC
Points 63.9 91.2
Total Points   155.1
Points From 2-Pointers 24.1 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 26.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 23.0
Shooting ARPB GRC
Field Goals Made 20.2 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 60.7
Field Goal % 36.0% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 12.0 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 37.8% 62.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 27.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 15.4 23.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 30.3
Free Throw % 75.0% 76.0%
Ball Control ARPB GRC
Rebounds 27.5 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 31.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 14.4
Turnovers 13.3 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.1 5.7
Steals 4.0 7.7
Fouls 18.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Ark Pine Bl

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB GRC
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 80.0
% of Possessions with ARPB GRC
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 30.3%
Player Fouled 21.9% 24.5%
Turnover 17.8% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB GRC
Shot Blocked 9.4% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 16.7% 40.5%