NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB ORST
Points 67.1 86.3
Total Points   153.5
Points From 2-Pointers 24.4 47.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 22.3
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.7
Shooting ARPB ORST
Field Goals Made 21.3 31.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 58.7
Field Goal % 38.5% 53.0%
2 Pointers Made 12.2 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 66.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 22.7
Free Throw % 75.0% 73.5%
Ball Control ARPB ORST
Rebounds 27.4 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 10.0
Turnovers 11.5 9.1
Blocked Shots 0.9 4.6
Steals 4.1 5.9
Fouls 17.8 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Ark Pine Bl

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB ORST
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 73.1
% of Possessions with ARPB ORST
2 Point Attempt 35.3% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 27.6%
Player Fouled 22.9% 24.7%
Turnover 15.9% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB ORST
Shot Blocked 7.8% 1.7%
Offensive Rebound 17.0% 32.1%