NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB CREI
Points 62.8 97.6
Total Points   160.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 43.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 39.4
Points From Free Throws 7.9 15.3
Shooting ARPB CREI
Field Goals Made 23.7 34.6
Field Goals Attempted 66.5 63.5
Field Goal % 35.7% 54.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 44.2 28.1
2 Point Shooting % 37.1% 76.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 35.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 7.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 10.6 18.9
Free Throw % 75.0% 80.8%
Ball Control ARPB CREI
Rebounds 27.4 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 37.5
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 9.5
Turnovers 7.9 8.0
Blocked Shots 1.0 4.4
Steals 4.0 3.7
Fouls 15.0 10.6

Playing Style Advantage: Ark Pine Bl

Expected Effect: +1.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB CREI
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 75.4
% of Possessions with ARPB CREI
2 Point Attempt 54.2% 33.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 42.2%
Player Fouled 14.3% 20.3%
Turnover 10.7% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB CREI
Shot Blocked 6.9% 1.5%
Offensive Rebound 13.6% 30.7%