NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB UTEP
Points 67.1 82.6
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 27.7 45.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 19.5
Points From Free Throws 18.7 17.5
Shooting ARPB UTEP
Field Goals Made 20.8 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 47.2 59.5
Field Goal % 44.0% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 26.7 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 18.7 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 25.8
Free Throw % 75.0% 68.0%
Ball Control ARPB UTEP
Rebounds 28.5 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.6 12.3
Turnovers 18.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 1.4 2.9
Steals 5.0 10.8
Fouls 17.4 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: TX El Paso

Expected Effect: +1.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB UTEP
Total Possessions 74.9
Effective Scoring Chances 62.5 76.1
% of Possessions with ARPB UTEP
2 Point Attempt 32.8% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 24.4%
Player Fouled 25.0% 23.2%
Turnover 24.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 14.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB UTEP
Shot Blocked 4.8% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 34.8%