NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB PV
Points 77.9 78.2
Total Points   156.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 48.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 14.2
Points From Free Throws 19.8 15.9
Shooting ARPB PV
Field Goals Made 24.6 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 50.5 61.8
Field Goal % 48.7% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 24.1
2 Pointers Attempted 27.4 45.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 19.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 22.5
Free Throw % 75.0% 70.5%
Ball Control ARPB PV
Rebounds 33.6 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 9.9
Turnovers 15.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.1
Steals 4.4 8.2
Fouls 17.3 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +1.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB PV
Total Possessions 75.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 75.9
% of Possessions with ARPB PV
2 Point Attempt 32.9% 52.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 19.2%
Player Fouled 24.7% 22.9%
Turnover 20.4% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB PV
Shot Blocked 5.1% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 26.9%