NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FIU EKY
Points 71.9 80.3
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 25.8
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.3
Shooting FIU EKY
Field Goals Made 26.0 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 66.2 60.8
Field Goal % 39.2% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.1% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 45.3%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 20.6
Free Throw % 65.0% 69.3%
Ball Control FIU EKY
Rebounds 33.4 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 13.8
Turnovers 9.3 13.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.9
Steals 8.6 4.8
Fouls 14.3 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: E Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FIU EKY
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 76.4 74.3
% of Possessions with FIU EKY
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 21.3%
Player Fouled 18.2% 19.3%
Turnover 12.6% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 11.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FIU EKY
Shot Blocked 9.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 39.0%