NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY LIP
Points 79.8 83.7
Total Points   163.5
Points From 2-Pointers 43.8 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 23.3
Points From Free Throws 10.7 13.9
Shooting PEAY LIP
Field Goals Made 30.3 31.0
Field Goals Attempted 63.7 57.7
Field Goal % 47.6% 53.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.9 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 62.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 10.7 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 17.9
Free Throw % 70.9% 77.5%
Ball Control PEAY LIP
Rebounds 32.7 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 6.6
Turnovers 8.0 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.1
Steals 5.1 4.0
Fouls 14.7 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: Austin Peay

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY LIP
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 68.1
% of Possessions with PEAY LIP
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 26.3%
Player Fouled 16.3% 20.9%
Turnover 11.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY LIP
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 22.9%