NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY NEOM
Points 76.3 74.0
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 14.9
Points From Free Throws 14.1 20.2
Shooting PEAY NEOM
Field Goals Made 27.0 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 52.1
Field Goal % 46.8% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 14.1 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 26.9
Free Throw % 70.9% 75.0%
Ball Control PEAY NEOM
Rebounds 32.2 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.4
Turnovers 7.8 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.0
Steals 5.3 3.7
Fouls 18.0 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Neb Omaha

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY NEOM
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 68.5
% of Possessions with PEAY NEOM
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 21.1%
Player Fouled 21.6% 26.2%
Turnover 11.3% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY NEOM
Shot Blocked 4.0% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 26.6%