NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY EIU
Points 78.1 70.2
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 14.4
Points From Free Throws 15.7 14.4
Shooting PEAY EIU
Field Goals Made 27.4 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 58.3
Field Goal % 49.8% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 42.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 15.7 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 19.5
Free Throw % 70.9% 73.7%
Ball Control PEAY EIU
Rebounds 34.2 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.0
Turnovers 9.1 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.2
Steals 5.1 4.8
Fouls 14.1 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY EIU
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 70.1
% of Possessions with PEAY EIU
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 53.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 19.3%
Player Fouled 24.1% 20.6%
Turnover 13.3% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY EIU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 28.0%