NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY MURR
Points 72.4 76.6
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 43.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 17.5
Points From Free Throws 11.6 15.2
Shooting PEAY MURR
Field Goals Made 26.1 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 54.2
Field Goal % 46.1% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 11.6 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 22.0
Free Throw % 70.9% 68.9%
Ball Control PEAY MURR
Rebounds 29.8 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 9.0
Turnovers 8.7 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.9
Steals 4.8 4.0
Fouls 15.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Austin Peay

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY MURR
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 67.6
% of Possessions with PEAY MURR
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 22.8%
Player Fouled 20.8% 23.1%
Turnover 13.0% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY MURR
Shot Blocked 5.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 29.7%