NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY BUCK
Points 74.1 73.9
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 41.8
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 18.0
Points From Free Throws 13.8 14.1
Shooting ALBY BUCK
Field Goals Made 26.2 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 56.2
Field Goal % 43.1% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 13.8 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 20.0
Free Throw % 73.9% 70.3%
Ball Control ALBY BUCK
Rebounds 34.9 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.0
Turnovers 10.6 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.0
Steals 6.9 6.5
Fouls 16.6 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY BUCK
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 68.5
% of Possessions with ALBY BUCK
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 24.9%
Player Fouled 19.9% 23.3%
Turnover 14.8% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY BUCK
Shot Blocked 7.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 27.7%