NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY QUIN
Points 78.6 85.5
Total Points   164.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 52.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 16.2
Points From Free Throws 13.2 17.2
Shooting ALBY QUIN
Field Goals Made 28.5 31.4
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 63.3
Field Goal % 45.1% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 45.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 13.2 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 22.6
Free Throw % 73.9% 76.5%
Ball Control ALBY QUIN
Rebounds 33.2 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 12.2
Turnovers 12.6 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.1
Steals 6.9 7.6
Fouls 15.2 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY QUIN
Total Possessions 76.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 77.3
% of Possessions with ALBY QUIN
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 19.9%
Player Fouled 18.0% 19.9%
Turnover 16.5% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY QUIN
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 35.2%