NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY AMER
Points 76.9 74.6
Total Points   151.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 17.8
Points From Free Throws 12.1 13.8
Shooting ALBY AMER
Field Goals Made 27.9 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 55.2
Field Goal % 49.0% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.8% 60.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 12.1 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 19.3
Free Throw % 73.9% 71.6%
Ball Control ALBY AMER
Rebounds 31.0 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.8
Turnovers 10.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 1.6
Steals 5.9 5.8
Fouls 16.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY AMER
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 67.3
% of Possessions with ALBY AMER
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 24.8%
Player Fouled 20.3% 23.6%
Turnover 15.6% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY AMER
Shot Blocked 2.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 28.3%