NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY MASS
Points 73.4 88.1
Total Points   161.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 53.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 14.4
Points From Free Throws 14.8 19.9
Shooting ALBY MASS
Field Goals Made 25.7 31.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 59.5
Field Goal % 42.4% 53.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 26.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 42.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 28.0%
Free Throws Made 14.8 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 29.2
Free Throw % 73.9% 68.2%
Ball Control ALBY MASS
Rebounds 31.1 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 13.4
Turnovers 12.9 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.8
Steals 6.6 7.6
Fouls 18.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: U Mass

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY MASS
Total Possessions 74.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.2 77.9
% of Possessions with ALBY MASS
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 19.2%
Player Fouled 19.8% 24.6%
Turnover 17.3% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY MASS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 40.2%