NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY TEM
Points 76.5 80.0
Total Points   156.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 16.9
Points From Free Throws 14.1 18.9
Shooting ALBY TEM
Field Goals Made 27.3 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 60.1
Field Goal % 45.3% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 14.1 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 26.9
Free Throw % 73.9% 70.1%
Ball Control ALBY TEM
Rebounds 36.3 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 10.5
Turnovers 12.5 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.6
Steals 5.9 7.9
Fouls 17.3 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY TEM
Total Possessions 74.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 76.3
% of Possessions with ALBY TEM
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 22.7%
Player Fouled 18.4% 23.1%
Turnover 16.7% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY TEM
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 28.4%