NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY UMASS
Points 79.5 86.5
Total Points   166.0
Points From 2-Pointers 45.7 51.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 12.5
Points From Free Throws 13.2 23.0
Shooting ALBY UMASS
Field Goals Made 29.7 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 68.7 56.9
Field Goal % 43.3% 52.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 25.5
2 Pointers Attempted 46.0 42.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 4.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 14.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 13.2 23.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 30.9
Free Throw % 73.9% 74.3%
Ball Control ALBY UMASS
Rebounds 33.6 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 10.4
Turnovers 11.0 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.0
Steals 8.7 6.7
Fouls 19.6 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Mass Lowell

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY UMASS
Total Possessions 78.0
Effective Scoring Chances 79.3 75.7
% of Possessions with ALBY UMASS
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 15.6%
Player Fouled 16.6% 25.1%
Turnover 14.0% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY UMASS
Shot Blocked 8.9% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 32.9%