NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY KSU
Points 70.2 85.6
Total Points   155.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 48.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 15.1
Points From Free Throws 14.5 22.0
Shooting ALBY KSU
Field Goals Made 24.4 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 54.7
Field Goal % 38.1% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 24.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 64.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 14.5 22.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 30.6
Free Throw % 73.9% 71.9%
Ball Control ALBY KSU
Rebounds 31.3 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 19.4 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 11.1
Turnovers 11.7 13.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.9
Steals 8.1 6.0
Fouls 19.8 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY KSU
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 76.0 73.8
% of Possessions with ALBY KSU
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 19.6%
Player Fouled 18.8% 26.1%
Turnover 15.4% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY KSU
Shot Blocked 9.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 36.5%