NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TULN MTU
Points 78.0 70.8
Total Points   148.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 28.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 27.6
Points From Free Throws 18.1 15.2
Shooting TULN MTU
Field Goals Made 27.0 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 60.4
Field Goal % 47.1% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 14.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 43.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 18.1 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 21.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.4%
Ball Control TULN MTU
Rebounds 35.1 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 11.4
Turnovers 8.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.2
Steals 6.2 4.3
Fouls 15.0 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Middle Tenn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TULN MTU
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 73.6
% of Possessions with TULN MTU
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 32.2%
Player Fouled 22.4% 20.3%
Turnover 11.8% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TULN MTU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.0% 28.3%