NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TULN MEM
Points 79.3 86.2
Total Points   165.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 29.6
Points From Free Throws 17.0 17.9
Shooting TULN MEM
Field Goals Made 26.8 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 64.2
Field Goal % 45.4% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 17.0 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 24.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.7%
Ball Control TULN MEM
Rebounds 32.2 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 13.4
Turnovers 12.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 5.1
Steals 6.7 7.6
Fouls 16.3 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TULN MEM
Total Possessions 77.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 79.4
% of Possessions with TULN MEM
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 29.5%
Player Fouled 22.5% 21.0%
Turnover 15.6% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TULN MEM
Shot Blocked 8.1% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 34.7%