NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD BUCK
Points 60.2 69.5
Total Points   129.7
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 24.6
Points From Free Throws 10.9 11.2
Shooting L-MD BUCK
Field Goals Made 21.2 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 52.0
Field Goal % 38.8% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 10.9 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 15.9
Free Throw % 64.1% 70.3%
Ball Control L-MD BUCK
Rebounds 33.8 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 6.4
Turnovers 10.7 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.7
Steals 5.7 6.3
Fouls 14.4 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD BUCK
Total Possessions 65.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 61.8
% of Possessions with L-MD BUCK
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 31.8%
Player Fouled 22.5% 22.1%
Turnover 16.3% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD BUCK
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 21.6%