NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring L-MD MARQ
Points 54.9 87.2
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 25.0 47.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 27.5
Points From Free Throws 8.2 12.7
Shooting L-MD MARQ
Field Goals Made 19.7 32.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 55.8
Field Goal % 35.9% 58.5%
2 Pointers Made 12.5 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 39.5% 71.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 40.2%
Free Throws Made 8.2 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 12.8 18.5
Free Throw % 64.1% 68.8%
Ball Control L-MD MARQ
Rebounds 30.2 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 6.4
Turnovers 15.2 7.9
Blocked Shots 1.3 4.8
Steals 5.0 8.6
Fouls 14.3 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats L-MD MARQ
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.3 67.1
% of Possessions with L-MD MARQ
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 30.2%
Player Fouled 17.5% 20.9%
Turnover 22.2% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 12.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken L-MD MARQ
Shot Blocked 8.6% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 24.0%