NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONT WASH
Points 75.4 83.4
Total Points   158.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 47.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 19.0
Points From Free Throws 13.3 16.8
Shooting MONT WASH
Field Goals Made 26.9 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 59.4
Field Goal % 44.3% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 23.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 42.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 13.3 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 23.4
Free Throw % 80.1% 71.5%
Ball Control MONT WASH
Rebounds 31.8 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 8.7
Turnovers 9.6 7.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.7
Steals 3.9 5.3
Fouls 16.9 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Montana

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONT WASH
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 73.3
% of Possessions with MONT WASH
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 20.5%
Player Fouled 20.1% 23.3%
Turnover 13.3% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONT WASH
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 26.2%