NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET OSU
Points 66.1 82.0
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 21.8
Points From Free Throws 11.9 13.9
Shooting STET OSU
Field Goals Made 23.3 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 62.1
Field Goal % 39.6% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 11.9 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 18.5
Free Throw % 75.1% 75.2%
Ball Control STET OSU
Rebounds 30.8 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 11.9
Turnovers 9.2 7.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.8
Steals 3.7 4.8
Fouls 15.1 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET OSU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 73.6
% of Possessions with STET OSU
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 24.7%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.9%
Turnover 13.4% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET OSU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 34.7%