NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET MIA
Points 71.9 82.1
Total Points   154.0
Points From 2-Pointers 28.4 43.6
Points From 3-Pointers 33.5 28.8
Points From Free Throws 10.0 9.7
Shooting STET MIA
Field Goals Made 25.4 31.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 64.4
Field Goal % 42.0% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 28.4 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.0 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 10.0 9.7
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 13.5
Free Throw % 75.1% 71.6%
Ball Control STET MIA
Rebounds 32.8 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.0
Turnovers 9.8 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.5
Steals 5.0 6.1
Fouls 12.4 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET MIA
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 72.8
% of Possessions with STET MIA
2 Point Attempt 35.7% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 40.2% 30.6%
Player Fouled 16.4% 17.7%
Turnover 14.1% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET MIA
Shot Blocked 4.0% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 31.3%