NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET VMI
Points 83.4 68.7
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 18.7
Points From Free Throws 15.5 9.4
Shooting STET VMI
Field Goals Made 29.4 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 63.5
Field Goal % 48.1% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 43.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 13.4
Free Throw % 75.1% 70.4%
Ball Control STET VMI
Rebounds 38.6 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.3
Turnovers 8.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 1.7
Steals 6.7 4.5
Fouls 12.5 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET VMI
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 71.8
% of Possessions with STET VMI
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 24.3%
Player Fouled 20.9% 17.0%
Turnover 12.0% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET VMI
Shot Blocked 2.8% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 23.9%