NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET FAU
Points 71.4 85.3
Total Points   156.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 47.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 23.7
Points From Free Throws 11.7 14.4
Shooting STET FAU
Field Goals Made 25.6 31.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 62.7
Field Goal % 42.5% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 11.7 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 19.8
Free Throw % 75.1% 72.6%
Ball Control STET FAU
Rebounds 30.9 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 12.3
Turnovers 9.6 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.4
Steals 4.0 5.9
Fouls 15.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET FAU
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 75.2
% of Possessions with STET FAU
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 27.1%
Player Fouled 19.7% 21.2%
Turnover 13.6% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET FAU
Shot Blocked 3.8% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 35.8%