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Iowa at Northwestern
Tue Jan 14, 2020
8:00pm ET
Evanston, IL
Iowa at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Iowa by 5.5, Total Points: 141.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | IOWA | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-1 | 18-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-13-1 | 13-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 7-10-1 | 9-7-1 | |
| Away | 6-10-0 | 9-7-1 |
Iowa Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | North Dakota | -20.5 | W by 42 | +21.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Alabama St | -31.5 | W by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Creighton | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Arkansas St | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | N Florida | -26.5 | W by 25 | -1.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 19 | -5.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Iowa St | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.0 | W by 36 | +12.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Maryland BC | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Illinois | -18.0 | W by 29 | +11.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Rutgers | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Michigan | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Ohio St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Penn St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wisconsin | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Michigan St | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Illinois | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Penn St | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Illinois | +2.0 | L by 12 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Kansas St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Utah | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
| IOWA -5.5 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1239 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Iowa won the game 844 times (68.1%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 395 times (31.9%).
- The team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 611-610-18 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4243 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 2099-2060-84 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 |
| Open | -5.5 | -5.0 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/14 07:34 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 06:15 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 02:43 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 02:01 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 12:27 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/14 08:48 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/13 10:15 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/13 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/13 07:44 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/13 06:54 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/13 06:38 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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