NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCSU
Points 57.3 73.0
Total Points   130.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 22.0
Points From Free Throws 6.4 12.4
Shooting CCSU
Field Goals Made 21.9 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 56.5
Field Goal % 40.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 6.4 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 10.6 17.4
Free Throw % 60.7% 71.4%
Ball Control CCSU
Rebounds 30.6 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.0
Turnovers 13.5 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.9
Steals 5.4 7.4
Fouls 13.0 11.0

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCSU
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 61.0 66.9
% of Possessions with CCSU
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 25.2%
Player Fouled 16.2% 19.2%
Turnover 20.0% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCSU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 27.6%