NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES MORE
Points 54.9 75.1
Total Points   130.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 12.2 27.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 13.5
Shooting UMES MORE
Field Goals Made 19.2 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 55.5
Field Goal % 34.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 28.7
2 Point Shooting % 37.6% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 25.5% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 12.3 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 18.4
Free Throw % 71.8% 73.2%
Ball Control UMES MORE
Rebounds 29.2 42.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.6 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.5
Turnovers 10.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.7
Steals 6.0 5.8
Fouls 14.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland ES

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES MORE
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 67.8
% of Possessions with UMES MORE
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 35.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 33.4%
Player Fouled 21.0% 21.0%
Turnover 15.1% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES MORE
Shot Blocked 8.6% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 35.7%