NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES LIB
Points 59.4 74.6
Total Points   134.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.7 29.2
Points From Free Throws 10.9 11.0
Shooting UMES LIB
Field Goals Made 22.1 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 56.1
Field Goal % 40.2% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 28.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 61.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 26.7% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 10.9 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 17.1
Free Throw % 71.8% 64.5%
Ball Control UMES LIB
Rebounds 31.7 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 8.2
Turnovers 11.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.7
Steals 5.2 5.1
Fouls 15.7 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland ES

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES LIB
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 66.6
% of Possessions with UMES LIB
2 Point Attempt 51.0% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 36.0%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.9%
Turnover 16.6% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES LIB
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 25.0%